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Getting ready for Obamaflation

What inflation does to the insurance industry

Metropolitan Life Insurance Company

Wild ’stimulus spending’ by the Obama administration, together the trillion dollar costs of the imminent government health programs, are likely to bring inflation at a level usually seen in developing economies.

This article discusses the impact of high inflation on the insurance industry. If inflation reaches 25% or more, life insurance and annuities will be among the first casualties. The capital market is also likely to shrink.

Post Modern Security Analysis

How rating agencies contributed to the Crash

Church selling indulgences

The Crash of 2008 revealed serious flaws in the rating agency system. The market had lost confidence in the major agencies because of the practice of selling ratings. Also, ratings had become a condition of default and agencies, to look good, rapidly downgraded issues just prior to default.

Reform of this system is not simple, requiring an entirely new approach consistent with the complexity of today’s market. Collaborative research with new Internet technology is a possible solution.

The coming devaluation

Inflation and the lure of REITS

San Francisco real estate

Real Estate Investment Trusts were beaten down by the Crash of 2008. However, in anticipation of an inflationary environment, we note that REITs are selling at significant discounts. This situation may present opportunities in an inflationary environment.

However, REITs are tricky and risky. Investors should consider doing their own research when venturing in this market.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Buybacks + options + hedge funds

Stock buyback programs are a legalized form of market manipulation, sanctioned under SEC Rule 10b-18 and that serve to drive up the price of a company's stock and to give false value to executive stock options.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Truth, Fact, Opinion

In security analysis, it is important to get the facts, before forming an opinion. Effective collaborative research calls for rigorous separation of the fact-gathering from the decision-making stages of the process. More ...

US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
More ...

US equities

GAO pooh-poohs a Boomer bust

In 2006, the GAO issued a report saying that the retirement of the Baby Boomers should not have a negative effect on stock prices. This article reviews the GAO reasoning and concludes that the conclusion is not credible. More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2010-12-13 16:03