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US politics

Obamacare and the future of US doctors

Will doctors survive Obamacare?

President Obama wants to increase the number of people covered by subsidized health insurance. However, his plan does not call for an increase in the number of doctors. He claims the plan will be paid for by greater efficiency, without explaining how this will be achieved.

One thing is sure, the very rich and powerful will continue to get the best treatment, while fraudsters will benefit from increased government regulation. For the rest, rationing and higher costs seem inevitable.

The coming inflation

Money market funds will signal inflation

MMF are like banks ...

Money market funds, like banks, receive money from depositors repayable on demand, which they invest in debt instruments. Their spreads are far less than those of commercial banks and they have no reserve requirements.

The difference between a MMF and a commercial bank is that one issues equities while the other issues debt callable on demand.

When inflation hits, short-term interest rates with MMFs will be the first to rise because of their razor-thin effective spreads.

Financial economic theory

CFAs reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis

On the road to Damascus ...

A recent poll of members of the British Chartered Financial Analyst Institute revealed that 77% of its members disagreed that investors acted rationally.

This implicit rejection of the Efficient Market Hypothesis has far reaching implications for the structure and management of capital markets, including Modern Portfolio Theory, the use of betas, the justification for index funds, and the M&M Theories.

Will the economists that proposed these theories return their Nobel prizes?

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Buybacks + options + hedge funds

Stock buyback programs are a legalized form of market manipulation, sanctioned under SEC Rule 10b-18 and that serve to drive up the price of a company's stock and to give false value to executive stock options.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Truth, Fact, Opinion

In security analysis, it is important to get the facts, before forming an opinion. Effective collaborative research calls for rigorous separation of the fact-gathering from the decision-making stages of the process. More ...

US Politics

Why are the Super-Rich often liberals?

If we are to believe the old adage that, 'people vote their pocketbooks', why are so many of the Super-Rich ardent supporters of the Democratic Party? Why do the liberal Super-Rich seem to act in a way that is so contrary to their selfish interests and economic well-being? Here I show how capital flow analysis of the Federal Reserve flow of funds accounts provides an answer to this apparent conundrum. More ...

US equities

Stock values and cash dividends wither

Wall Street ballyhoo and flim-flam to the contrary, the year 2005 closed-out half a decade of misery and pain for the average investor in US equities. Average cash dividend yields never surpassed 3.8% during the period, and most of this was consumed by taxes and management expenses of the open-end mutual funds. More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2010-08-13 13:07