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Category: Inflation

This category includes articles about the causes and effects of the loss of purchasing power of currencies.

Stagflation watch

When will inflation kick in?

Forecasting when inflation will kick in is impossible, because the political situation is so uncertain and conflicted.

The lack of fiscal restraint of President Obama on the healthcare issue, the ’stimulus bill’, and other ‘progressive’ legislation in the pipeline, combined with the jobs-firsts-inflation-last attitude of Fed Chairman Bernanke — leave little room to doubt that sooner or later the United States is likely to enter the realm of double-digit inflation.

Inflation is likely be the final and deadliest blow to the retirement dreams of many Baby Boomers. When the stock market crashes, one can hope for a recovery some day. With inflation, the losses are permanent and final.

The coming storm:

Will gold protect you against inflation?

Will Obama's exit crash gold?

In 35 of the last 50 years, gold prices have fallen relative to inflation. On four occasions, gold has fallen 50% or more. Gold does not track inflation, but rather anticipation of hyper-inflation or war.

In 2010, gold prices were soaring, reflecting fear of inflation from fiscal excesses of the Obama administration and continuation of war in Iraq and Afghanistan. If Obama is a one-termer, gold prices could fall.

Storm coming:

How to survive the coming inflation

Money as wallpaper. Germany 1923.

When the government spends much more than it takes in, inflation results. The Obama administration is spending a lot more that it should.

In fact, Congressional authorization for deficit spending is now at historic levels. Will Americans paper their walls with dollar bills when inflation hits?

So far, most Congressional authorizations have not been disbursed. But as spending budgets are executed, inflation should kick in.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Accelerating to a buyback-option blowout

By Q1 2006, stock buybacks had multiplied to five times the level of 2000. Buybacks grew by 25% in 2005, with corporate profits after taxes increasing only 5.5%. At these rates, buybacks will exceed after-tax profits by 2009.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Does ‘SEC Total Return’ protect investors?

Millions of investors put money for retirement into mutual funds selected on the basis of "SEC total returns" and the name of the fund. This article explains how the SEC allows funds to use this misleading statistic to the detriment of investors and to the benefit of fund managers. More ...

US Politics

Why are the Super-Rich often liberals?

If we are to believe the old adage that, 'people vote their pocketbooks', why are so many of the Super-Rich ardent supporters of the Democratic Party? Why do the liberal Super-Rich seem to act in a way that is so contrary to their selfish interests and economic well-being? Here I show how capital flow analysis of the Federal Reserve flow of funds accounts provides an answer to this apparent conundrum. More ...

US equities

Sarbanes-Oxley and the shortage of equities

The Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, by discouraging companies to go public, will exacerbate the shortage of equities, with a negative effect on the US stock market, although this was not the intent of its authors. Poorly drafted, ill-conceived, and unfair this law does little to protect investors.
More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2010-11-26 13:03