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Category: Security Analysis
Post Modern Security Analysis

Crowdsourcing opinion is not factual research

A typical stock report

Post Modern Security Analysis calls for facts, not opinions. Collaborative research, not the crowdsourcing of opinion, is required.

A tsunami of raw, unanalyzed open source information now overwhelms the market, calling for new tools and new ways to motivate researchers.

To this end, Capital Market Wiki has tweaked the Wikipedia model, added a semantic structure and built-in incentives, and has created a system for collaborative investment research.

Post Modern Security Analysis

The heroic, solitary analyst is long gone

The solitary, heroic security analyst is long gone ...

The old-fashioned, heroic security analyst, working alone in a dark room with a stack of annual reports, in a snow-bound house in Omaha, far from Wall Street, is less likely to solve investment riddles today, than fifty years ago.

The analyst of the 21st century must be ready to engage in collaborative research. The future lies in modern knowledge handling technology, including OSINT techniques, crowdsourcing, wiki software, and capital market taxonomy.

Post Modern Security Analysis

Crowd sourcing investment research

Free information bears the cost of time

Free, easily available investment information is largely unexploited. This is because there is too much of it.

Information, to be useful, must be processed. This processing has a time cost.

This article describes how new technology allows securities research to evolve beyond the industrial techniques of the 20th century.

Crowd sourcing and collaborative research, semantic wikis, and Capital Market Taxonomy are discussed in this article.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Accelerating to a buyback-option blowout

By Q1 2006, stock buybacks had multiplied to five times the level of 2000. Buybacks grew by 25% in 2005, with corporate profits after taxes increasing only 5.5%. At these rates, buybacks will exceed after-tax profits by 2009.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Does ‘SEC Total Return’ protect investors?

Millions of investors put money for retirement into mutual funds selected on the basis of "SEC total returns" and the name of the fund. This article explains how the SEC allows funds to use this misleading statistic to the detriment of investors and to the benefit of fund managers. More ...

US Politics

President Obama's Lincoln moment

In mid 2009, Barack Obama found that Lincoln's saying, "You can't fool all of the people all of the time," applied to his presidency. Profligate spending and unpopular health reform ended Obama's honeymoon. More ...

US equities

Sarbanes-Oxley and the shortage of equities

The Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, by discouraging companies to go public, will exacerbate the shortage of equities, with a negative effect on the US stock market, although this was not the intent of its authors. Poorly drafted, ill-conceived, and unfair this law does little to protect investors.
More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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