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Category: World Economy

Articles dealing with the global economy.

Euros versus the dollar

Multiple central banks weaken the euro

The reputation of the euro will depend upon the reputation of the European Central Bank and its ability to control the volume of euros in circulation.

The multiplicity of independent central banks is the Achilles heel of the eurosystem. A bank, controlled by the government, in a fiat money environment, that acts as the paying agent for that government, has — in effect — the capability to print money (although not necessarily banknotes).

Imagine, tomorrow the headlines in the Wall Street Journal read “$100 billion is inflationary euros issued without the knowledge of the European Central Bank”. What would be the effect of the news on the value of the euro as a reserve currency?

International finance

Who chooses the global reserve currency?

An alternate

Who determines the ‘world reserve currency’? Central bankers? IMF officials? College professors?

The answer is ‘none of the above’. In an open, global economy, the world reserve currency is determined by the judgment of millions of importers and exporters in many countries.

The world reserve currency is decided by consensus and the personal decisions of exporters as to what currency they will accept for their goods.

On this basis, it’s too early to count the dollar out.

Hard Times

Finding a job in the new capital market

Whither Wall Street?

The Crash of 2008 was the end to what I call, “the old capital markets”.

A new era is beginning, but form and detail are hidden in the mists of change. It may be a decade or so before new structures and directions are visible.

Many were thrown out of work by the Crash, but before getting into the unpleasant chore of actually looking for a job, you should consider whether or not you even want to work in the new capital markets.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

WSJ exposes the 9/11 caper

In a major exposé of misused executive options, the Wall Street Journal ran a front page article, reporting that as stocks sank after the the 9/11 attacks, scores of companies rushed to issue options to top officials. Some executives reaped millions.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Managing complexity

Modern capital markets have become so complex that security analysis methods of the 1930s are no longer adequate. Complexity goes beyond financial data to collateral issues such as operations, foreign and domestic taxation, and structural risks. More ...

US Politics

Why are the Super-Rich often liberals?

If we are to believe the old adage that, 'people vote their pocketbooks', why are so many of the Super-Rich ardent supporters of the Democratic Party? Why do the liberal Super-Rich seem to act in a way that is so contrary to their selfish interests and economic well-being? Here I show how capital flow analysis of the Federal Reserve flow of funds accounts provides an answer to this apparent conundrum. More ...

US equities

GAO favors overly-optimistic projections

In a study of the effect of the retirement of Baby Boomers on the price of equities, the GAO assumed that equities will provide real returns of 7% over the next decades. This figure is often cited in Wall Street promotional literature, but has no scientific basis.
More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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1969-12-31 06:48