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US Politics

Economic uncertainty escalates

Whether the inflation 'money hurricane' will hit now, is less certain.

On March 23, 2010, President Obama signed the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. No one knows the full economic impact of this law. Never has legislation of such complexity and importance been passed by Congress and signed by the President on a purely partisan vote, against the wishes of the majority of the American people. The outlook for inflation has changed suddenly from a high level of probability to undetermined — uncertainty as to disbursement timing, combined with the outcome of elections in 2010 and 2012, provides possible scenarios under which things could get radically worse, or better.

Stagflation watch

When will inflation kick in?

Forecasting when inflation will kick in is impossible, because the political situation is so uncertain and conflicted.

The lack of fiscal restraint of President Obama on the healthcare issue, the ’stimulus bill’, and other ‘progressive’ legislation in the pipeline, combined with the jobs-firsts-inflation-last attitude of Fed Chairman Bernanke — leave little room to doubt that sooner or later the United States is likely to enter the realm of double-digit inflation.

Inflation is likely be the final and deadliest blow to the retirement dreams of many Baby Boomers. When the stock market crashes, one can hope for a recovery some day. With inflation, the losses are permanent and final.

What would Adam Smith say?

Soviet-style capitalism on Wall Street

Casino at Monte Carlo: Economic Game Theory and Monte Carlo Methods were based on the presumption that players would have some skin in the game

Most corporate executives of giant companies today are, in actuality, mere employees (‘workers’ in communist jargon) and are not capitalists or entrepreneurs at all.

Their extraordinary remuneration schemes are provided without executives having employed or having risked any of their own capital and is often paid, even as a corporation slides into bankruptcy.

Adam Smith recognized self-interest as a useful trait, but one that should not be allowed to override the nobler virtues.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Buybacks + options + hedge funds

Stock buyback programs are a legalized form of market manipulation, sanctioned under SEC Rule 10b-18 and that serve to drive up the price of a company's stock and to give false value to executive stock options.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Jeff Skilling explains US corporate ethics

Unfortunately for society, Jeff Skilling of Enron told the truth according to tenets of moral relativism learned at the Harvard Business School and with McKinsey and Company, when, on being sentenced to decades in prison, he said, "That's the way the game is played. You win some, you lose some."
More ...

US Politics

What is the future of private pension plans?

Between 1999 and 2002, US private pension funds lost US$ 1.2 trillion in value. It would almost seem that pension fund managers had been speculating with retirement money, attempting to beat each others' short-term performance statistics, with little interest in safeguarding the assets of plan beneficiaries. More ...

US equities

Stocks surge on spurious earnings

In Q1 2009, stock buybacks came back, driving up equity prices and sparking a rally by dominating a thin market. These equity repurchases were financed from depreciation reserves and bond issues. More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2010-09-03 16:02