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Investment 1995 - 2004

Home equity beats stocks

Home Equity vs. Stock Holdings

In 1995, US households held similar amounts of assets in home equity and corporate stocks: US$ 4.3 trillion in stocks and US$ 4.7 trillion in home equity. Over the decade, the situation changed dramatically, so that by 2004, households held US$ 4.8 trillion more in home equity than in corporate stocks.

This difference came about because of the crash in the stock market in 2000-2001 and because of the steady increase in home values throughout the decade. Low interest rates and easier terms on home mortgages pushed prices of residential real estate upwards, while individuals favored indirect investment in stocks through mutual funds over direct holdings.

'Defined Benefit' Pension Plans

Why pension managers like stock buybacks

Fiduciary duty corrupted by self-interest

The sponsors of ‘defined benefits’ pension plans controlled, as of December 2004, about US $2.5 trillion in equities. Common stocks, even after the crash of 2000-2001, were substantially over-valued. In order for stock prices to reflect values that were customary before the advent of stock buybacks, prices would have to drop between 20% (earnings basis) and 50% (dividend yield basis).

In the case of ‘defined benefits’ pension plans, this would represent a loss of between US$500 billion and US$1.2 trillion in market value of pension portfolios.

US Equities

Who is holding America’s stock proxies?

Over 55% of corporate stock that belongs to US Households and Nonprofit Organizations is held indirectly through intermediaries who have the power to vote these shares.

The major holders of these voting powers are pension plans and mutual funds.

This means that it is not shareholder-owners that control most US public corporations, but hired intermediaries, each of which have conflicts of interest.

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Accelerating to a buyback-option blowout

By Q1 2006, stock buybacks had multiplied to five times the level of 2000. Buybacks grew by 25% in 2005, with corporate profits after taxes increasing only 5.5%. At these rates, buybacks will exceed after-tax profits by 2009.
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Securities Analysis

Crowd sourcing investment research

Free, easily available investment information is largely unexploited. This is because there is too much of it. Information, to be useful, must be processed. This processing has a time cost. This article describes how new technology allows securities research to evolve beyond the industrial techniques of the 20th century.
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US Politics

Why Congress won't kill ACORN

Closely connected with President Obama, the ACORN group of "community organizers" has drawn censure from the Democrat-controlled Congress as a result of investigative reporting by James O'Keefe and Hannah Giles. More ...

US equities

Do stocks offer protection against inflation?

There is a common belief that a managed, diversified portfolio of US common stocks provides protection against inflation. However, there is reason to question whether this protection currently exists.
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US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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1969-12-31 19:00