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Subject: Amity Shlaes

Amity Ruth Shlaes (born September 10, 1960) is an American author and columnist from New York, who writes about politics and economics. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Jimmy Carter Redux

Obama offers inflation plus unemployment

Carter: Inflation plus unemployment

As of this writing, the term “stagpression” gathers only 145 hits on Google. This is probably because the term — meant to suggest high unemployment plus high inflation — does not convey this meaning effectively.

So we’re stuck with the term “stagflation”. Or maybe something like, “stagflation on steroids”, although this seems a bit hackneyed.

Under President Obama, the Carter combination of inflation and unemployment are likely to return — with a vengeance. Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke, seems to have read the wrong books about the Great Depression.

Arguments for inflation

Will US home prices be higher in 2015?

Typical American home

This article is in response to a reader’s comment as to the future of US housing prices. Specifically, whether residential prices will rise 30% by August 2015. I argue that this is essentially a question as to whether the Obama administration will lead to continued deflation or a return of inflation.

I present a series of arguments for predicting inflation and consequently the revival of residential real estate prices by 2015. Basically it comes down to the declining political fortunes of Barack Obama intersecting with the excessive spending habits of the Pelosi-Reid Congress.

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Accelerating to a buyback-option blowout

By Q1 2006, stock buybacks had multiplied to five times the level of 2000. Buybacks grew by 25% in 2005, with corporate profits after taxes increasing only 5.5%. At these rates, buybacks will exceed after-tax profits by 2009.
More ...

Securities Analysis

How inflation impacts EPS and PE ratios.

The Obama administration and Congress are laying foundations for high inflation. US equity investors should consider the effect of a rapidly devaluating currency on EPS and PE ratios. More ...

US Politics

President Obama's Lincoln moment

In mid 2009, Barack Obama found that Lincoln's saying, "You can't fool all of the people all of the time," applied to his presidency. Profligate spending and unpopular health reform ended Obama's honeymoon. More ...

US equities

Stock values and cash dividends wither

Wall Street ballyhoo and flim-flam to the contrary, the year 2005 closed-out half a decade of misery and pain for the average investor in US equities. Average cash dividend yields never surpassed 3.8% during the period, and most of this was consumed by taxes and management expenses of the open-end mutual funds. More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2010-09-24 16:01