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Subject: Baby Boomers

A baby boomer is a person who was born during the demographic Post-World War II baby boom. The term “baby boomer” is sometimes used in a cultural context, and sometimes used to describe someone who was born during the post-WWII baby boom. Therefore, it is impossible to achieve broad consensus of a precise definition, even within a given territory. Different groups, organizations, individuals, and scholars may have widely varying opinions on what constitutes a baby boomer, both technically and culturally. Ascribing universal attributes to a broad generation is difficult, and some observers believe that it is inherently impossible. Nonetheless, many people have attempted to determine the broad cultural similarities and historical impact of the generation, and thus the term has gained widespread popular usage.
In general, baby boomers are associated with a rejection or redefinition of traditional values; however, many commentators have disputed the extent of that rejection, noting the widespread continuity of values with older and younger generations. In Europe and North America boomers are widely associated with privilege, as many grew up in a time of affluence. As a group, they were the healthiest, and wealthiest generation to that time, and amongst the first to grow up genuinely expecting the world to improve with time.
One of the unique features of Boomers was that they tended to think of themselves as a special generation, very different from those that had come before. In the 1960s, as the relatively large numbers of young people became teenagers and young adults, they, and those around them, created a very specific rhetoric around their cohort, and the change they were bringing about. This rhetoric had an important impact in the self perceptions of the boomers, as well as their tendency to define the world in terms of generations, which was a relatively new phenomenon.
The baby boom has been described variously as a “shockwave” and as “the pig in the python.” By the sheer force of its numbers, the boomers were a demographic bulge which remodeled society as it passed through it.
The term Generation Jones has been used by Jonathan Pontell to distinguish those born from 1954 onward from the earlier Baby Boomers. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Baby Boomers' retirement threatened?

GAO favors overly-optimistic projections

Implanting False Hope

In a study of the effect of the retirement of Baby Boomers on the price of equities, the GAO assumed that equities will provide real returns of 7% over the next decades. This figure is often cited in Wall Street promotional literature, but has no scientific basis.

Baby Boomers whose retirement plans are predicated on a 7% return on equities may find out, too late, that they have been misled by marketing flim-flam.

Don't worry, be happy

GAO pooh-poohs a Boomer bust

The Woodstock Generation must now think of the future

In July 2006, the Government Accounting Office issued a report saying that the retirement of the Baby Boomers should not have a negative effect on stock prices.

This article reviews the GAO reasoning and concludes that the government’s ‘Don’t worry, be happy’ conclusion is not credible.

The Woodstock kids will soon have to think about assisted living costs.

Stock buybacks

Accelerating to a buyback-option blowout

Fuel on the Fire

By Q1 2006, stock repurchases by domestic non-financial corporations had multiplied to five times the level of 2000, the peak of the Great Bubble of the 1990s. With buybacks accelerating at an annual rate of 25% throughout 2005, and with net corporate profits after taxes increasing only 5.5% a year, it is now probable, if recent buyback-option trends persist, that by 2009 — the eve of retirement of the Baby Boomer generation — corporate stock buybacks will surpass net corporate profits after taxes.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

The Stock Buyback Era evaluated

The buyback era began when the SEC allowed issuers to manipulate prices to give value to executive options. Stock buybacks since 1982, in 2008 dollars, total $5.77 trillion. More ...

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The Efficient Market Hypothesis continues to impede understanding of how capital markets work. This hypothesis suggests that world capital markets are guided by crowds of rational, competing, profit-maximizers, each trying to predict future market values of individual securities. The Efficient Market Hypothesis has never been proven.
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US Politics

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Professor Siegel’s Epiphany

The topic "Baby Boom — Baby Bomb?" was debated by Michael Milken and Professor Jeremy Siegel in April 2006. This debate was featured in BusinessWeek in the article, "When Boomers Cash Out: A buy-and-hold legend sees tough times ahead." Professor Siegel is the guru of the Common Stock Legend.
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US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

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2010-09-28 15:03