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Subject: Barack Obama

Barack Hussein Obama II (born August 4, 1961), the 44th President of the United States. He is the first African American to hold the office, and the first president born in Hawaii. Obama previously served as the junior United States Senator from Illinois from January 2005 until he resigned after his election to the presidency in November 2008.

The coming storm:

Will gold protect you against inflation?

Will Obama's exit crash gold?

In 35 of the last 50 years, gold prices have fallen relative to inflation. On four occasions, gold has fallen 50% or more. Gold does not track inflation, but rather anticipation of hyper-inflation or war.

In 2010, gold prices were soaring, reflecting fear of inflation from fiscal excesses of the Obama administration and continuation of war in Iraq and Afghanistan. If Obama is a one-termer, gold prices could fall.

Bond market:

World avoids US private debt

Fed Flow of Funds Table F.107, US$ billions (annual flows) to Q2 2009

The flight to safer investments, which started with the Crash of 2008, has accelerated as the consequences of economic policies of the Obama administration have become evident.

There has been a net swing away from certain classes of private debt on the order of USD 1.5 trillion, between 2006 and Q2 2009. This money has gone into US Treasury securities, driving rates to almost zero.

Government spending:

US fiscal deficit soars six-fold

Obama administration falls off the cliff

This “Obama Deficit” is about six times the fiscal deficit for the year 2003 and at the highest level in American history.

The Federal Reserve Flow of Funds accounts for Q2 2009, estimates the US fiscal deficit (on an annual basis) at $1,294.9 billion.

Uncontrolled spending by the US government and the lack of any clear plan as how these outlays will eventually be financed has resulted in the world fleeing dollars.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Warren Buffett attacks buyback schemes

In the 2005 Berkshire-Hathaway annual report, Warren Buffet points to the unethical aspects of the buyback-option schemes so common in the US stock market. He noted that "Too often ... the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay. ... every dime paid out in dividends reduces the value of all outstanding options"
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Securities Analysis

Is big bank complexity irreversible?

The root problem with big banks today is organizational and product line complexity. Excessive complexity in banks can be traced to the reorganization of Citibank in 1956, under Walter Wriston, following the advice of McKinsey and Company.
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US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
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US equities

Stocks surge on spurious earnings

In Q1 2009, stock buybacks came back, driving up equity prices and sparking a rally by dominating a thin market. These equity repurchases were financed from depreciation reserves and bond issues. More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Signs of US losing its groove?

Thirty years ago, US income from abroad was more than double the amount of income that the US paid to the rest of the world. This year, or the next, this foreign income surplus may disappear forever. Is the US 'losing its groove'? More ...

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2010-09-28 15:18