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Subject: Ben Bernanke

Ben Shalom Bernanke (born December 13, 1953) is an American economist. Bernanke succeeded Alan Greenspan as the Chairman of the United States Federal Reserve on February 1, 2006. He was nominated for a second term by President Barack Obama in 2009 as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve. [Wikipedia]

Stagflation watch

When will inflation kick in?

Forecasting when inflation will kick in is impossible, because the political situation is so uncertain and conflicted.

The lack of fiscal restraint of President Obama on the healthcare issue, the ’stimulus bill’, and other ‘progressive’ legislation in the pipeline, combined with the jobs-firsts-inflation-last attitude of Fed Chairman Bernanke — leave little room to doubt that sooner or later the United States is likely to enter the realm of double-digit inflation.

Inflation is likely be the final and deadliest blow to the retirement dreams of many Baby Boomers. When the stock market crashes, one can hope for a recovery some day. With inflation, the losses are permanent and final.

As goes January?

Foreigners and funds buy US stocks

Market clockwork from former times

Foreign investors and mutual fund shareholders were the primary buyers behind the Bear Market Recovery of 2009. Stock buybacks had disappeared, a significant modification in investor/issuer behavior that had been seen since 1982 and SEC Rule 10b-18.

The rally hit a peak in January 2010, reminding many of the saying, “As goes January, so goes the year”.

Storm coming:

How to survive the coming inflation

Money as wallpaper. Germany 1923.

When the government spends much more than it takes in, inflation results. The Obama administration is spending a lot more that it should.

In fact, Congressional authorization for deficit spending is now at historic levels. Will Americans paper their walls with dollar bills when inflation hits?

So far, most Congressional authorizations have not been disbursed. But as spending budgets are executed, inflation should kick in.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Warren Buffett attacks buyback schemes

In the 2005 Berkshire-Hathaway annual report, Warren Buffet points to the unethical aspects of the buyback-option schemes so common in the US stock market. He noted that "Too often ... the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay. ... every dime paid out in dividends reduces the value of all outstanding options"
More ...

Securities Analysis

How inflation impacts EPS and PE ratios.

The Obama administration and Congress are laying foundations for high inflation. US equity investors should consider the effect of a rapidly devaluating currency on EPS and PE ratios. More ...

US Politics

President Obama and the Lincoln Bible

The Crash of 2008 put Barack Obama in the Oval Office and was the culmination of two secular financial trends. Americans now have an untested, inexperienced leader, with strange radical friends and a leftist deficit spending agenda. More ...

US equities

The productivity vs. population debate

The 'Baby Boomer Bomb' refers to the expected effect of the retirement of the Baby Boomer generation on capital markets, particularly equities. Two proposed 'solutions' to the problem are examined: Boomers being 'saved' by productivity and technology; and, alternatively, by selling their financial assets to the next generation..
More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2010-11-05 15:03