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Subject: beta

In finance, the beta (?) of a stock or portfolio is a number describing the relation of its returns with that of the financial market as a whole.
An asset with a beta of 0 means that its price is not at all correlated with the market. A positive beta means that the asset generally follows the market. A negative beta shows that the asset inversely follows the market; the asset generally decreases in value if the market goes up and vice versa.
Correlations are evident between companies within the same industry, or even within the same asset class (such as equities), as was demonstrated in the Wall Street crash of 1929. This correlated risk, measured by Beta, creates almost all of the risk in a diversified portfolio.
The beta coefficient is a key parameter in the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). It measures the part of the asset’s statistical variance that cannot be mitigated by the diversification provided by the portfolio of many risky assets, because it is correlated with the return of the other assets that are in the portfolio. Beta can be estimated for individual companies using regression analysis against a stock market index.(Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Financial economic theory

CFAs reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis

On the road to Damascus ...

A recent poll of members of the British Chartered Financial Analyst Institute revealed that 77% of its members disagreed that investors acted rationally.

This implicit rejection of the Efficient Market Hypothesis has far reaching implications for the structure and management of capital markets, including Modern Portfolio Theory, the use of betas, the justification for index funds, and the M&M Theories.

Will the economists that proposed these theories return their Nobel prizes?

Post Modern Security Analysis

Fish schools, covariance, and DYOR

Security market observes have long noted that investors seem to jump hither and yon, like the synchronized swimming of schools of fish.

This phenomenon is given the mathematical term ‘covariance’ and a numerical measure called ‘beta’.

Covariance is a central concept in Modern Portfolio Theory, and also in Technical Analysis with the saying ‘the trend is your friend’.

The Post Stock Buyback Era

Seeking investment opportunities

On a tightrope ... without a net.

The Crash of 2008 signaled a turning point in capital markets. The stock buyback era seemed to have ended. The Efficient Market Hypothesis was discredited. The inability of market experts and major institutions to place a fair value on thousands of securities indicated basic problems in security analysis and the handling of freely available information.

This article describes new challenges facing fundamental security analysts in the early 21st century, and the consequent opportunities.

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks, refusing to die, live on

In Q1 2009, stock buybacks came back, driving up equity prices and sparking a rally by dominating a thin market. These equity repurchases were financed from depreciation and bond issues. More ...

Securities Analysis

Some banks are too complex to manage

It is no secret that Citicorp no longer earns the same respect in financial circles as in days of yore. The problem is excessive complexity. This article describes the simplicity of the Citibank operation in 1956 when the bank was the world's most powerful financial institution.
More ...

US Politics

The decline of mainstream media

In September 2009, President Obama dominated television in his attempt to sell his government-run health plan, despite massive public opposition. Mainstream media has falling revenues and market share as people turn to unbiased sources. More ...

US equities

Stock values and cash dividends wither

Wall Street ballyhoo and flim-flam to the contrary, the year 2005 closed-out half a decade of misery and pain for the average investor in US equities. Average cash dividend yields never surpassed 3.8% during the period, and most of this was consumed by taxes and management expenses of the open-end mutual funds. More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2010-08-25 16:03