Conservative Economics

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Subject: collaborative research

A method of securities analysis in which more than one person or institution participates by means of semantic wiki software and in which the process of fact gathering is separated from the process of forming an opinion. Capital Market Wiki is a vehicle for collaborative securities research.

Auction Market Preferred Shares

Why rating agencies overlook toxic assets

After the Crash of 2008, rating agencies were criticized

Failures of commercial rating services to do an adequate job have been widely recognized, in the wake of the Crash of 2008. Much of the criticism, however, has been directed to the conflicts of interests that are a characteristic of these services.

This article discusses other weaknesses of commercial publishers of investment information, such as the industrial nature of their operations and their marketing focus on traders rather than long-term investors. The case of Auction Market Preferred Shares, which failed in 2008, is covered in detail.

Post Modern Security Analysis

How rating agencies contributed to the Crash

Church selling indulgences

The Crash of 2008 revealed serious flaws in the rating agency system. The market had lost confidence in the major agencies because of the practice of selling ratings. Also, ratings had become a condition of default and agencies, to look good, rapidly downgraded issues just prior to default.

Reform of this system is not simple, requiring an entirely new approach consistent with the complexity of today’s market. Collaborative research with new Internet technology is a possible solution.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks and dividend equivalency

Corporations have argued that stock buybacks are equivalent to dividends. This article explains why this is not true and why suggesting buyback-dividend equivalency may constitute fraud.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Is big bank complexity irreversible?

The root problem with big banks today is organizational and product line complexity. Excessive complexity in banks can be traced to the reorganization of Citibank in 1956, under Walter Wriston, following the advice of McKinsey and Company.
More ...

US Politics

What is the future of private pension plans?

Between 1999 and 2002, US private pension funds lost US$ 1.2 trillion in value. It would almost seem that pension fund managers had been speculating with retirement money, attempting to beat each others' short-term performance statistics, with little interest in safeguarding the assets of plan beneficiaries. More ...

US equities

Sarbanes-Oxley and the shortage of equities

The Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, by discouraging companies to go public, will exacerbate the shortage of equities, with a negative effect on the US stock market, although this was not the intent of its authors. Poorly drafted, ill-conceived, and unfair this law does little to protect investors.
More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Signs of US losing its groove?

Thirty years ago, US income from abroad was more than double the amount of income that the US paid to the rest of the world. This year, or the next, this foreign income surplus may disappear forever. Is the US 'losing its groove'? More ...

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2010-09-28 16:01