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Subject: complexity

Complexity is a term used with reference to Post Modern Security Analysis and collaborative research, indicating the problems that arise from excessive complexity in modern financial markets, including such aspects as ‘too complex to manage’, derivatives, and the myriad products of financial engineering.

Phony financial reform

Dodd-Frank won’t make better markets

Financial markets can be extremely complex, with many areas that can fail and break.

Unfortunately, instead of a ‘game-changing’ confidence-inspiring reform, the Obama administration presented the United States with the Dodd-Frank Act — a legislative miscarriage that has the potential to hold back recovery and impair the position of New York as a world financial center for decades — unless repealed or drastically amended.

Post Modern Security Analysis

Managing complexity

At one time, securities were relatively simple ...

Modern capital markets have become so complex that security analysis methods of the 1930s are no longer adequate.

Excessive, daunting complexity is the reason that security analysts must move now beyond Graham & Dodd.

Complexity is not only in financial information, but in collateral issues such as institutional operations, the interaction of foreign and domestic taxation, and structural risks.

Post Modern Security Analysis

The economics of security analysis

A flood of complex information ...

Total salaries of securities analysts working for financial institutions in 2006 amounted to only 1/100 of one percent of the value of outstanding corporate equities, domestic and foreign corporate bonds, and municipal bonds in the US market.

The exceeding complexity of modern capital markets, combined with too little being spent on investment analysis, has put the savings of millions of Americans at risk.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks and dividend equivalency

Corporations have argued that stock buybacks are equivalent to dividends. This article explains why this is not true and why suggesting buyback-dividend equivalency may constitute fraud.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Intrinsic value

The target of classical security analysis is 'intrinsic value', a fuzzy concept defined as the value justified by the facts. Now, there may be too many 'facts' while prices exceed 'intrinsic value'. More ...

US Politics

What is the future of private pension plans?

Between 1999 and 2002, US private pension funds lost US$ 1.2 trillion in value. It would almost seem that pension fund managers had been speculating with retirement money, attempting to beat each others' short-term performance statistics, with little interest in safeguarding the assets of plan beneficiaries. More ...

US equities

GAO pooh-poohs a Boomer bust

In 2006, the GAO issued a report saying that the retirement of the Baby Boomers should not have a negative effect on stock prices. This article reviews the GAO reasoning and concludes that the conclusion is not credible. More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Signs of US losing its groove?

Thirty years ago, US income from abroad was more than double the amount of income that the US paid to the rest of the world. This year, or the next, this foreign income surplus may disappear forever. Is the US 'losing its groove'? More ...

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2010-08-06 16:05