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covariance In probability theory and statistics, covariance is a measure of how much two variables change together.
In finance, the beta (?) of a stock or portfolio is a number describing the relation of its returns with that of the financial market as a whole.
An asset with a beta of 0 means that its price is not at all correlated with the market. A positive beta means that the asset generally follows the market. A negative beta shows that the asset inversely follows the market; the asset generally decreases in value if the market goes up and vice versa.[2]
Correlations are evident between companies within the same industry, or even within the same asset class (such as equities), as was demonstrated in the Wall Street crash of 1929. This correlated risk, measured by Beta, creates almost all of the risk in a diversified portfolio.
The beta coefficient is a key parameter in the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). It measures the part of the asset’s statistical variance that cannot be mitigated by the diversification provided by the portfolio of many risky assets, because it is correlated with the return of the other assets that are in the portfolio. Beta can be estimated for individual companies using regression analysis against a stock market index. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)
Post Modern Security Analysis
By John Schroy, on May 11th, 2009 |

Security market observes have long noted that investors seem to jump hither and yon, like the synchronized swimming of schools of fish.
This phenomenon is given the mathematical term ‘covariance’ and a numerical measure called ‘beta’.
Covariance is a central concept in Modern Portfolio Theory, and also in Technical Analysis with the saying ‘the trend is your friend’.
The Post Stock Buyback Era
By John Schroy, on April 19th, 2009 |

The Crash of 2008 signaled a turning point in capital markets. The stock buyback era seemed to have ended. The Efficient Market Hypothesis was discredited. The inability of market experts and major institutions to place a fair value on thousands of securities indicated basic problems in security analysis and the handling of freely available information.
This article describes new challenges facing fundamental security analysts in the early 21st century, and the consequent opportunities.
Stock buybacks and options
By John Schroy, on June 24th, 2006 |

Stock buybacks and stock options are two dominant interlocked forces that have determined the direction of prices in the US equity market since 1982. Corporate management undertakes a stock-buyback program to manipulate the price of company stock upwards and benefits from this action by exercising executive stock options. Price increases caused by buybacks of one company reflect on the prices of stocks of other companies.
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