Conservative Economics

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Subject: Derivative Strategy

A derivative strategy is a technique that involves one or more derivative instruments, such as futures, forwards, or option contracts, in such a way as to hedge, control, or otherwise limit risk, or to switch, exchange, or transfer risk from one party to another, usually for a consideration.

Phony financial reform

Dodd-Frank won’t make better markets

Financial markets can be extremely complex, with many areas that can fail and break.

Unfortunately, instead of a ‘game-changing’ confidence-inspiring reform, the Obama administration presented the United States with the Dodd-Frank Act — a legislative miscarriage that has the potential to hold back recovery and impair the position of New York as a world financial center for decades — unless repealed or drastically amended.

Fat-Finger Thursday:

Traders violate First Law of Robotics

Mindless robotic trading on stock exchanges led to Fat Finger Thursday.

On May 6, 2010, the Dow Jones Stock Index, at about 2:30 PM, fell almost one thousand points, before recovering when traders discovered that there was no real news justifying the crash in prices. The day will forever be know as ‘Fat-Finger Thursday’, in remembrance of the first inclination to blame the crash on supposed mistaken data entry by some trader, somewhere. Later, the authorities came out and declared that there was no “fat finger”, but that the cause for the anomaly was unknown and under investigation.

Decline of the dollar

US Dollar falls 50% against Brazilian Real

US Dollar devalued against Brazilian Real

Since 2003, the US dollar has fallen almost 50% against the Brazilian Real. What caused this to happen and what does it mean for the future of the dollar?

The reason for the strong real is the excess of Brazilian exports over imports. Government policy resulting in extremely high internal interest rates attracts holders of these dollar reserves to invest in short-term Brazilian debt.

However, not all is rosy in Brazil.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Warren Buffett attacks buyback schemes

In the 2005 Berkshire-Hathaway annual report, Warren Buffet points to the unethical aspects of the buyback-option schemes so common in the US stock market. He noted that "Too often ... the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay. ... every dime paid out in dividends reduces the value of all outstanding options"
More ...

Securities Analysis

Can index funds protect you against inflation?

Historical evidence suggests that equities do not offer fool-proof protection against inflation. Inflation brings high interest rates, confounds accounting practices, and is associated with bad government. More ...

US Politics

Why are the Super-Rich often liberals?

If we are to believe the old adage that, 'people vote their pocketbooks', why are so many of the Super-Rich ardent supporters of the Democratic Party? Why do the liberal Super-Rich seem to act in a way that is so contrary to their selfish interests and economic well-being? Here I show how capital flow analysis of the Federal Reserve flow of funds accounts provides an answer to this apparent conundrum. More ...

US equities

Professor Siegel’s Epiphany

The topic "Baby Boom — Baby Bomb?" was debated by Michael Milken and Professor Jeremy Siegel in April 2006. This debate was featured in BusinessWeek in the article, "When Boomers Cash Out: A buy-and-hold legend sees tough times ahead." Professor Siegel is the guru of the Common Stock Legend.
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US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2011-08-08 16:05