Conservative Economics

Advertisement

Recent Tweets

Follow capflowwatch on Twitter
Page 1 of 212
Subject: Eugene Fama

Eugene Francis “Gene” Fama (born February 14, 1939) is an American economist, known for his work on portfolio theory and asset pricing, both theoretical and empirical. He is currently Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.
He earned his undergraduate degree in French from Tufts University in 1960 and his M.B.A. and Ph.D. from the Booth School of Business at the University of Chicago in economics and finance; his doctoral supervisor was Benoit Mandelbrot. He has spent all of his teaching career at the University of Chicago.
His Ph.D. thesis, which concluded that stock price movements are unpredictable and follow a random walk, was published in January, 1965 issue of the Journal of Business, entitled “The Behavior of Stock Market Prices”. That work was subsequently rewritten into a less technical article, “Random Walks In Stock Market Prices”, which was published in the Financial Analysts Journal in 1965 and Institutional Investor in 1968.
His article “The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information” in the International Economic Review, 1969 (with several co-authors) was the first event study that sought to analyze how stock prices respond to an event, using price data from the newly available CRSP database. This was the first of literally hundreds of such published studies.

Fama is most often thought of as the father of efficient market hypothesis, beginning with his Ph.D. thesis. In a ground-breaking article in the May, 1970 issue of the Journal of Finance, entitled “Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work,” Fama proposed two crucial concepts that have defined the conversation on efficient markets ever since. First, Fama proposed three types of efficiency: (i) strong-form; (ii) semi-strong form; and (iii) weak efficiency. Second, Fama demonstrated that the notion of market efficiency could not be rejected without an accompanying rejection of the model of market equilibrium (e.g. the price setting mechanism). This concept, known as the “joint hypothesis problem,” has ever since vexed researchers. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Commonsense Economics:

The Inefficient Market Hypothesis

The dead Efficient Market Hypothesis has left behind much harmful junk in financial space

Eventually, at some point, without an efficient market, common stocks become mere baseball cards.

Sooner or later, some Baby Boomer, pressed to pay his bills in retirement, will find that one can’t live off the dividends of common stock and that when everyone is trying to cash out their holdings at the same time, market prices plunge to levels that seemed inconceivable for generations. But it will simply be the cost of allowing an inefficient market to flourish for so long.

This article discusses the concept of inefficient markets and the practical consequences.

Post Modern Security Analysis

Intrinsic value

The target of classical security analysis is ‘intrinsic value’, a fuzzy concept defined as the value justified by the facts.

Financial markets have become vastly more complex since the days of Graham & Dodd.

Since the 1960’s, stock prices have generally exceeded ‘intrinsic value’. New techniques are needed now to handle the flood of free investment information.

Post Modern Security Analysis

Moving beyond Graham & Dodd

A security analyst is like a detective.

Security Analysis is the study of facts about negotiable instruments for the purpose of determining whether a particular instrument is appropriate for a specific investor at a particular time and the intrinsic value of the security compared to its market price, if any.

The technique has evolved over time with the changing nature of information.

In the 21st century, with a flood of open source information and increasingly complex, global markets, new approaches are necessary.

Page 1 of 212

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

The Stock Buyback Era evaluated

The buyback era began when the SEC allowed issuers to manipulate prices to give value to executive options. Stock buybacks since 1982, in 2008 dollars, total $5.77 trillion. More ...

Securities Analysis

Mark-to-market nonsense

Banks, by their nature, are insolvent, requiring government guarantees of their liabilities to protect against bank runs. Over the last fifty years, the percentage of bank liabilities guaranteed by the government has fallen considerably, while banks, free from the shackles of the Glass-Steagall Act, have become increasingly complex.
More ...

US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
More ...

US equities

Stock values and cash dividends wither

Wall Street ballyhoo and flim-flam to the contrary, the year 2005 closed-out half a decade of misery and pain for the average investor in US equities. Average cash dividend yields never surpassed 3.8% during the period, and most of this was consumed by taxes and management expenses of the open-end mutual funds. More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

Custom Search

Subscribe / Follow

Subscribe via RSS Subscribe via Email

Site navigation

Capital Flow Watch has hundreds of articles on economics and investments.

Articles have excerpts on the front pages, and on tag, category, search and archive pages.


Review capital-flow-watch.net on alexa.com

» Blog Guide

Excerpts by Category

Article Calendar

November 2010
MTWTFSS
« Sep  
1234567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
2930 

Stock Quotes

DJIA11274.73  chart -0.63%
NASDAQ2549.44  chart -0.53%
S&P 5001206.19  chart -0.59%

Ftse 1005811.61  chart -1.08%
Dax6707.52  chart -1.18%
Cac 403883.93  chart -1.57%

Nikkei 2259830.52  chart +1.40%
Hang Seng Index24500.61  chart -0.85%
Straits Times Ind3289.24  chart -0.74%

Eur To Usd1.37  chartN/A
Usd To Jpy82.36  chartN/A
Gbp To Usd1.60  chartN/A

2010-11-10 10:20