Conservative Economics

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Subject: Financial Analysts Journal

The CFA Institute publishes the Financial Analysts Journal, founded in 1945. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Commonsense Economics:

The Inefficient Market Hypothesis

The dead Efficient Market Hypothesis has left behind much harmful junk in financial space

Eventually, at some point, without an efficient market, common stocks become mere baseball cards.

Sooner or later, some Baby Boomer, pressed to pay his bills in retirement, will find that one can’t live off the dividends of common stock and that when everyone is trying to cash out their holdings at the same time, market prices plunge to levels that seemed inconceivable for generations. But it will simply be the cost of allowing an inefficient market to flourish for so long.

This article discusses the concept of inefficient markets and the practical consequences.

Baby Boomers' retirement threatened?

GAO favors overly-optimistic projections

Implanting False Hope

In a study of the effect of the retirement of Baby Boomers on the price of equities, the GAO assumed that equities will provide real returns of 7% over the next decades. This figure is often cited in Wall Street promotional literature, but has no scientific basis.

Baby Boomers whose retirement plans are predicated on a 7% return on equities may find out, too late, that they have been misled by marketing flim-flam.

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks and dividend equivalency

Corporations have argued that stock buybacks are equivalent to dividends. This article explains why this is not true and why suggesting buyback-dividend equivalency may constitute fraud.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Operational versus financial information

The Crash of 2008 suggests that understanding the operational details of capital markets can be as important as financial analysis. This article discusses Capital Market Taxonomy in this context. More ...

US Politics

Why Congress won't kill ACORN

Closely connected with President Obama, the ACORN group of "community organizers" has drawn censure from the Democrat-controlled Congress as a result of investigative reporting by James O'Keefe and Hannah Giles. More ...

US equities

GAO pooh-poohs a Boomer bust

In 2006, the GAO issued a report saying that the retirement of the Baby Boomers should not have a negative effect on stock prices. This article reviews the GAO reasoning and concludes that the conclusion is not credible. More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2010-12-31 13:14