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Subject: Franklin Roosevelt

Franklin Delano Roosevelt (January 30, 1882 – April 12, 1945; pronounced /?ro?z?v?lt/ ROE-z?-velt) was the 32nd President of the United States and a central figure in world events during the mid-20th century, leading the United States during a time of worldwide economic crisis and world war. The only American president elected to more than two terms, he was often referred to by his initials, FDR. Roosevelt won his first of four presidential elections in 1932, while the United States was in the depths of the Great Depression. FDR’s combination of optimism and economic activism is often credited with keeping the country’s economic crisis from developing into a political crisis. He led the United States through most of World War II, and died in office of a cerebral hemorrhage, shortly before the war ended.
Roosevelt named his approach to the economic situation the New Deal; it consisted of legislation pushed through Congress as well as executive orders. Executive orders included the bank holiday declared when he first came to office; legislation created new government agencies, such as the Works Progress Administration and the National Recovery Administration, with the intent of creating new jobs for the unemployed. Other legislation provided direct assistance to individuals, such as the Social Security Act.
As World War II began in 1939, with Japanese occupation of countries on the western Pacific rim and the rise of Hitler in Germany, FDR kept the US on an ostensibly neutral course. In March 1941, Roosevelt provided Lend-Lease aid to the countries fighting against Nazi Germany, with Great Britain the recipient of the most assistance. With the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor on December 7, 1941, Roosevelt immediately asked for and received a declaration of war against Japan. Germany subsequently declared war on the United States on December 11, 1941. The nearly total mobilization of the US economy to support the war effort caused a rapid economic recovery.
Roosevelt dominated the American political scene, not only during the twelve years of his presidency, but for decades afterwards. FDR’s coalition melded together such disparate elements as Southern whites and African Americans in the cities of the North. Roosevelt’s political impact also resonated on the world stage long after his death, with the United Nations and Bretton Woods as examples of his administration’s wide ranging impact. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Restoring investor confidence

Reforming the SEC

In olden times, brokers had unlimited personal liability ...

The Crash of 2008 revealed weaknesses in the US SEC’s ability to protect the public. SEC commissioners have more incentives to favor issuers and market institutions than ordinary investors.

Appointed for five years, after serving many commissioners go back to work for market institutions.

A commissioner that is too zealous in investor protection may be unemployed when his or her term expires.

This article discusses possible solutions.

Arguments for inflation

Will US home prices be higher in 2015?

Typical American home

This article is in response to a reader’s comment as to the future of US housing prices. Specifically, whether residential prices will rise 30% by August 2015. I argue that this is essentially a question as to whether the Obama administration will lead to continued deflation or a return of inflation.

I present a series of arguments for predicting inflation and consequently the revival of residential real estate prices by 2015. Basically it comes down to the declining political fortunes of Barack Obama intersecting with the excessive spending habits of the Pelosi-Reid Congress.

Retirement plans

What is the future of private pension plans?

Critical investment decisions in 'defined contribution' plans are made by unsophisticated workers.

Between 1999 and 2002, US private pension funds lost US$ 1.2 trillion in value. It would almost seem that pension fund managers had been speculating with retirement money, attempting to beat each others’ short-term performance statistics, with little interest in safeguarding the assets of plan beneficiaries.

Political intrusion and trade unionism have debilitated the pension fund industry over many generations. The end of the pension industry may now be in sight.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Warren Buffett attacks buyback schemes

In the 2005 Berkshire-Hathaway annual report, Warren Buffet points to the unethical aspects of the buyback-option schemes so common in the US stock market. He noted that "Too often ... the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay. ... every dime paid out in dividends reduces the value of all outstanding options"
More ...

Securities Analysis

How inflation impacts EPS and PE ratios.

The Obama administration and Congress are laying foundations for high inflation. US equity investors should consider the effect of a rapidly devaluating currency on EPS and PE ratios. More ...

US Politics

President Obama and the Lincoln Bible

The Crash of 2008 put Barack Obama in the Oval Office and was the culmination of two secular financial trends. Americans now have an untested, inexperienced leader, with strange radical friends and a leftist deficit spending agenda. More ...

US equities

Professor Siegel’s Epiphany

The topic "Baby Boom — Baby Bomb?" was debated by Michael Milken and Professor Jeremy Siegel in April 2006. This debate was featured in BusinessWeek in the article, "When Boomers Cash Out: A buy-and-hold legend sees tough times ahead." Professor Siegel is the guru of the Common Stock Legend.
More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2010-10-28 15:55