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Subject: Herbert Hoover

Herbert Clark Hoover (August 10, 1874 – October 20, 1964) was the 31st President of the United States (1929–1933). Hoover was a professional mining engineer and author. As the United States Secretary of Commerce in the 1920s under Presidents Warren Harding and Calvin Coolidge, he promoted government intervention under the rubric “economic modernization”. In the presidential election of 1928, Hoover easily won the Republican nomination, despite having no previous elected office experience. To date, Hoover is the last cabinet secretary to be directly elected President of the United States, as well as one of only two Presidents (along with William Howard Taft) to have been elected President without electoral experience or high military rank. The nation was prosperous and optimistic at the time, leading to a landslide victory for Hoover over Democrat Al Smith.
Hoover, a trained engineer, deeply believed in the Efficiency Movement, which held that government and the economy were riddled with inefficiency and waste, and could be improved by experts who could identify the problems and solve them. When the Wall Street Crash of 1929 struck less than eight months after he took office, Hoover tried to combat the following Great Depression with volunteer efforts, none of which produced economic recovery during his term. The consensus among historians is that Hoover’s defeat in the 1932 election was caused primarily by failure to end the downward economic spiral. As a result of these factors, Hoover is ranked somewhat poorly among former U.S. presidents. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Arguments for inflation

Will US home prices be higher in 2015?

Typical American home

This article is in response to a reader’s comment as to the future of US housing prices. Specifically, whether residential prices will rise 30% by August 2015. I argue that this is essentially a question as to whether the Obama administration will lead to continued deflation or a return of inflation.

I present a series of arguments for predicting inflation and consequently the revival of residential real estate prices by 2015. Basically it comes down to the declining political fortunes of Barack Obama intersecting with the excessive spending habits of the Pelosi-Reid Congress.

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

The Stock Buyback Era evaluated

The buyback era began when the SEC allowed issuers to manipulate prices to give value to executive options. Stock buybacks since 1982, in 2008 dollars, total $5.77 trillion. More ...

Securities Analysis

Can index funds protect you against inflation?

Historical evidence suggests that equities do not offer fool-proof protection against inflation. Inflation brings high interest rates, confounds accounting practices, and is associated with bad government. More ...

US Politics

President Obama and the Lincoln Bible

The Crash of 2008 put Barack Obama in the Oval Office and was the culmination of two secular financial trends. Americans now have an untested, inexperienced leader, with strange radical friends and a leftist deficit spending agenda. More ...

US equities

The productivity vs. population debate

The 'Baby Boomer Bomb' refers to the expected effect of the retirement of the Baby Boomer generation on capital markets, particularly equities. Two proposed 'solutions' to the problem are examined: Boomers being 'saved' by productivity and technology; and, alternatively, by selling their financial assets to the next generation..
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US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2010-12-13 14:03