The Big Three Market DriversLearn Capital Flow AnalysisDo Companies Cheat Shareholders?Buybacks: The Fraud of the CenturySocialism vs. Free EnterpriseDo You Believe Official Statistics?Globalization: Good or Bad? | Subject: John Maynard Keynes John Maynard Keynes, 1st Baron Keynes, CB (pronounced /?ke?nz/; 5 June 1883 – 21 April 1946) was a British economist whose ideas have been a central influence on modern macroeconomics, both in theory and practice. He advocated interventionist government policy, by which governments would use fiscal and monetary measures to mitigate the adverse effects of business cycles, economic recessions, and depressions. His ideas are the basis for the school of thought known as Keynesian economics, and its various offshoots. In the 1930s, Keynes spearheaded a revolution in economic thinking, overturning the older ideas of neoclassical economics that held that free markets would automatically provide full employment as long as workers were flexible in their wage demands. Following the outbreak of World War II, Keynes’s ideas concerning economic policy were adopted by leading Western economies. During the 1950s and 1960s, the success of Keynesian economics was so resounding that almost all capitalist governments adopted its policy recommendations. In 1999, Time magazine included Keynes in their list of the 100 most important and influential people of the 20th century, commenting that; “His radical idea that governments should spend money they don’t have may have saved capitalism”. Keynes’s influence waned in the 1970s, partly as a result of problems that began to afflict the Anglo-American economies from the start of the decade, and partly due to critiques from Milton Friedman and other economists who were pessimistic about the ability of governments to regulate the business cycle with fiscal policy. However, the advent of the global financial crisis in 2007 has caused a resurgence in Keynesian thought. Keynesian economics has provided the theoretical underpinning for the plans of President Barack Obama, Prime Minister Gordon Brown and other global leaders to ease the recession. Keynes is widely considered the father of modern macroeconomics, and by various commentators such as economist John Sloman, the most influential economist of the 20th century. In addition to being an economist, Keynes was also a civil servant, a patron of the arts, a director of the Bank of England, an advisor to several charitable trusts, a writer, a private investor, an art collector, and a farmer. Keynes was bisexual, openly acknowledging the homosexual relationships he had with other men. In 1925, he married the Russian ballerina Lydia Lopokova. Of towering stature, Keynes stood at six foot, six inches. (Wikipedia Jan 2010) After the Crash By John Schroy, on July 25th, 2009 |  The financial crisis of 2008 caused many to suspect that something is wrong with ‘Modern Economic Theory’. That economists are not, in fact, ’scientists’ is generally recognized. In July 2009, the Economist magazine ran a front-page story, reporting widespread disenchantment with mainstream economic thought. Strictly speaking, modern economics is not a science, but rather a belief system, like a religion. Nobel prizes in ‘economic science’ for work not based on the scientific method are like giving Nobel peace prizes to terrorists. The Efficient Market Hypothesis By John Schroy, on March 23rd, 2009 |  The Crash of 2008 was exacerbated by a FASB mark-to-market rule that required financial institutions to write down assets below commonsense valuation. As John Maynard Keynes remarked, the problem was an academic scribbler’s unproven theory, some forty years ago. That ’scribbler’ was Eugene Fama and his unproven idea was called “The Efficient Market Hypothesis”. The Crash of 2008 did much to discredit this harmful musing that supported Modern Portfolio Theory, mark-to-mark accounting, and unmanaged index funds. Stock repurchases By John Schroy, on January 23rd, 2008 |  On September 17, 2007, Capital Flow Watch called the top of the Buyback Bubble, issuing a warning that stock prices might be in for a sharp fall. Throughout the last quarter of 2007, stock prices fell as funding for buybacks began to dry up, while executives rushed to exercise stock options before they were ‘under water’. Equity sales by households are expected to continue, until executive options are ‘under water’ or until corporations run out of funding for stock buybacks, whichever is first. Featured articles on inside pages | Site navigation Capital Flow Watch has hundreds of articles on economics and investments. Articles have excerpts on the front pages, and on tag, category, search and archive pages.

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