Conservative Economics

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Subject: labor unions

A trade union (or labor union, labour union) is an organization of workers who have banded together to achieve common goals in key areas, such as working conditions. The trade union, through its leadership, bargains with the employer on behalf of union members (rank and file members) and negotiates labor contracts (Collective bargaining) with employers. This may include the negotiation of wages, work rules, complaint procedures, rules governing hiring, firing and promotion of workers, benefits, workplace safety and policies. The agreements negotiated by the union leaders are binding on the rank and file members and the employer and in some cases on other non-member workers. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Arguments for inflation

Will US home prices be higher in 2015?

Typical American home

This article is in response to a reader’s comment as to the future of US housing prices. Specifically, whether residential prices will rise 30% by August 2015. I argue that this is essentially a question as to whether the Obama administration will lead to continued deflation or a return of inflation.

I present a series of arguments for predicting inflation and consequently the revival of residential real estate prices by 2015. Basically it comes down to the declining political fortunes of Barack Obama intersecting with the excessive spending habits of the Pelosi-Reid Congress.

US Bond Market

Consequences of a Democratic victory

Donkey economics bodes ill

The Democratic Party and its supporters have indicated a willingness to enact legislation that will reduce demand for bonds, while increasing supply: a recipe for lower bond prices and higher yields. Questionable economic policies are expected to include support for Fannie Mae, protectionist trade measures, and large pensions for unionized civil servants.

Municipal bonds

Fat municipal pensions spell trouble

Fat municipal pensions spell trouble ...

Municipal pension fund problems are primarily the fruit of unionization of public employees. Over the last generation, trade unions have turned from their traditional base of industrial workers (eroded by factory closings due to excessive labor demands) and have fixed on the juicy target of tax-supported government workers. This could result in higher interest on municipal bonds of cities with powerful government service unions, along with increased taxes, and downward pressure on real estate values in certain cities.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

WSJ exposes the 9/11 caper

In a major exposé of misused executive options, the Wall Street Journal ran a front page article, reporting that as stocks sank after the the 9/11 attacks, scores of companies rushed to issue options to top officials. Some executives reaped millions.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Mark-to-market nonsense

Banks, by their nature, are insolvent, requiring government guarantees of their liabilities to protect against bank runs. Over the last fifty years, the percentage of bank liabilities guaranteed by the government has fallen considerably, while banks, free from the shackles of the Glass-Steagall Act, have become increasingly complex.
More ...

US Politics

President Obama's Lincoln moment

In mid 2009, Barack Obama found that Lincoln's saying, "You can't fool all of the people all of the time," applied to his presidency. Profligate spending and unpopular health reform ended Obama's honeymoon. More ...

US equities

The productivity vs. population debate

The 'Baby Boomer Bomb' refers to the expected effect of the retirement of the Baby Boomer generation on capital markets, particularly equities. Two proposed 'solutions' to the problem are examined: Boomers being 'saved' by productivity and technology; and, alternatively, by selling their financial assets to the next generation..
More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2010-08-03 16:02