Conservative Economics

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Subject: mark-to-market

Mark-to-market or fair value accounting refers to the accounting standards of assigning a value to a position held in a financial instrument based on the current fair market price for the instrument or similar instruments. Fair value accounting has been a part of US Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) since the early 1990s, and investor demand for the use of fair value when estimating the value of assets and liabilities has increased steadily since then as investors desire a more realistic appraisal of an institution’s or company’s current financial situation. Mark-to-market is a measure of the fair value of accounts that can change over time, such as assets and liabilities. It is the act of recording the price or value of a security, portfolio or account to reflect its current market value rather than its book value. For example, mutual funds are marked to market on a daily basis at the market close so that investors have an idea of the fund’s net asset value (NAV). (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Commonsense Economics:

The Inefficient Market Hypothesis

The dead Efficient Market Hypothesis has left behind much harmful junk in financial space

Eventually, at some point, without an efficient market, common stocks become mere baseball cards.

Sooner or later, some Baby Boomer, pressed to pay his bills in retirement, will find that one can’t live off the dividends of common stock and that when everyone is trying to cash out their holdings at the same time, market prices plunge to levels that seemed inconceivable for generations. But it will simply be the cost of allowing an inefficient market to flourish for so long.

This article discusses the concept of inefficient markets and the practical consequences.

The 'insolvent bank' oxymoron

Mark-to-market nonsense

Run on Northern Rock Bank, Birmingham, UK, in 2007

Banks, by their nature, are insolvent, requiring government guarantees of their liabilities to protect against bank runs. Over the last fifty years, the percentage of bank liabilities guaranteed by the government has fallen considerably, while banks, free from the shackles of the Glass-Steagall Act, have become increasingly complex.

Mark-to-market rules do not provide useful information to either bank depositors or investors, but may increase bank capital requirements, reducing the capacity to lend in the midst of a recession.

The Efficient Market Hypothesis

How an academic scribbler ate your pension

University of Chicago Library

The Crash of 2008 was exacerbated by a FASB mark-to-market rule that required financial institutions to write down assets below commonsense valuation. As John Maynard Keynes remarked, the problem was an academic scribbler’s unproven theory, some forty years ago.

That ’scribbler’ was Eugene Fama and his unproven idea was called “The Efficient Market Hypothesis”. The Crash of 2008 did much to discredit this harmful musing that supported Modern Portfolio Theory, mark-to-mark accounting, and unmanaged index funds.

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2010-08-13 13:09