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Subject: money market funds

A Money Market Fund (or Money Market Mutual Fund) is an open ended mutual fund that invests in short term debt securities. Regulated under the Investment Company Act of 1940, Money Market funds are important providers of liquidity to financial intermediaries. In 1971, Bruce R. Bent established the first money market fund in the U.S. The Reserve Fund was offered to investors who were interested in preserving their cash and earning a small rate of return.
Outside of the U.S., the first money market fund was set up in 1968 and was designed for small investors. The fund was called Conta Garantia and was created by John Oswin Schroy. The fund’s investments included low denominations of commercial paper. (Wikipedia Jan 2010)

Watching the Fed

Bernanke’s “exit strategy” and inflation

Sweeping up worthless currency: Hungary 1946.

Despite massive government spending programs, without a clear plan for financing the deficit, Ben Bernanke continues to promise low interest rates for an extended period.

This suggests that Ben doesn’t understand that, even in inflation, there are ups and downs in employment and the business cycle. Low interest rate encourage the ‘Carry Trade’, not domestic employment.

So, what is Ben’s ‘exit strategy’ that will avoid the inflation that is being set up by Obama’s spending?

The coming inflation

Money market funds will signal inflation

MMF are like banks ...

Money market funds, like banks, receive money from depositors repayable on demand, which they invest in debt instruments. Their spreads are far less than those of commercial banks and they have no reserve requirements.

The difference between a MMF and a commercial bank is that one issues equities while the other issues debt callable on demand.

When inflation hits, short-term interest rates with MMFs will be the first to rise because of their razor-thin effective spreads.

Q1 2006

Demand for bonds still strong

Principal Corporate & Foreign Bond Buyers: Q1 2006

Despite worries about rising interest rates engineered by the Federal Reserve Bank, demand for corporate and foreign bonds in the US market continued firm through Q1 2006.

The principal bond buyers were foreign investors, life insurance companies, and money market funds.

Even with firm demand, corporate bond prices weakened in Q1 2006 because a significant increases in new offerings by corporations seeking to finance stock buybacks.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks and dividend equivalency

Corporations have argued that stock buybacks are equivalent to dividends. This article explains why this is not true and why suggesting buyback-dividend equivalency may constitute fraud.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Is big bank complexity irreversible?

The root problem with big banks today is organizational and product line complexity. Excessive complexity in banks can be traced to the reorganization of Citibank in 1956, under Walter Wriston, following the advice of McKinsey and Company.
More ...

US Politics

President Obama's Lincoln moment

In mid 2009, Barack Obama found that Lincoln's saying, "You can't fool all of the people all of the time," applied to his presidency. Profligate spending and unpopular health reform ended Obama's honeymoon. More ...

US equities

Stocks surge on spurious earnings

In Q1 2009, stock buybacks came back, driving up equity prices and sparking a rally by dominating a thin market. These equity repurchases were financed from depreciation reserves and bond issues. More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2011-04-01 16:02