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Subject: municipal bonds

Municipal bonds are debt obligations (securities) issued by state and local governments and their agencies.

US Bond Market

Rate sensitivity and bond issuance

Interconnected markets

This article describes the factors that influence the four primary US bond markets: Treasuries, Agencies, Municipals, and Corporates.

The analysis indicates that a high percentage of the supply side of the bond market is opportunistic and sensitive to interest rates, which explains why long-term interest rates have been relatively stable, despite increasing demand.

This analysis also suggests that should the flow of funds from the trade deficit suddenly dry up, the first impact would be a rapid reduction in the size of the residential mortgage market, rather than a sharp increase in interest rates.

US Bond Market 1995-2004

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Supply & Demand: US Bonds

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion.

In most years, buyers had to go to the secondary market to get all the bonds they wanted. On the demand side, steady buying pressure, accounting for about two-thirds of the market, has come from foreign investors, insurance companies, federal, state, and local governments, and banks and savings institutions — each acting for difference reasons.

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There is a common belief that a managed, diversified portfolio of US common stocks provides protection against inflation. However, there is reason to question whether this protection currently exists.
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Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

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Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2010-12-13 14:14