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Subject: Paul Volcker

Paul Adolph Volcker (born September 5, 1927) is an American economist. He was the Chairman of the Federal Reserve under United States Presidents Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan (from August 1979 to August 1987). He is currently chairman of the newly formed Economic Recovery Advisory Board under President Barack Obama. (Wikipedia Feb 2010)

Stagflation watch

When will inflation kick in?

Forecasting when inflation will kick in is impossible, because the political situation is so uncertain and conflicted.

The lack of fiscal restraint of President Obama on the healthcare issue, the ’stimulus bill’, and other ‘progressive’ legislation in the pipeline, combined with the jobs-firsts-inflation-last attitude of Fed Chairman Bernanke — leave little room to doubt that sooner or later the United States is likely to enter the realm of double-digit inflation.

Inflation is likely be the final and deadliest blow to the retirement dreams of many Baby Boomers. When the stock market crashes, one can hope for a recovery some day. With inflation, the losses are permanent and final.

Storm coming:

How to survive the coming inflation

Money as wallpaper. Germany 1923.

When the government spends much more than it takes in, inflation results. The Obama administration is spending a lot more that it should.

In fact, Congressional authorization for deficit spending is now at historic levels. Will Americans paper their walls with dollar bills when inflation hits?

So far, most Congressional authorizations have not been disbursed. But as spending budgets are executed, inflation should kick in.

Devaluation threatens investors

US Treasury supports dollars

US Treasury Department

In the financial crisis, the US Treasury took steps to protect the dollar as the world reserve currency, allowing AIG funds to pass through to foreign banks and engaging in currency swaps with foreign central banks.

However, the Pelosi-Reid Congress, by unprecedented domestic spending, has raised a real possibility of future high-level inflation. It will be up to US voters whether government finances return to a reasonable basis. The Federal Reserve cannot neutralize the negative impact an out-of-control Congress.

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

WSJ exposes the 9/11 caper

In a major exposé of misused executive options, the Wall Street Journal ran a front page article, reporting that as stocks sank after the the 9/11 attacks, scores of companies rushed to issue options to top officials. Some executives reaped millions.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Managing complexity

Modern capital markets have become so complex that security analysis methods of the 1930s are no longer adequate. Complexity goes beyond financial data to collateral issues such as operations, foreign and domestic taxation, and structural risks. More ...

US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
More ...

US equities

Professor Siegel’s Epiphany

The topic "Baby Boom — Baby Bomb?" was debated by Michael Milken and Professor Jeremy Siegel in April 2006. This debate was featured in BusinessWeek in the article, "When Boomers Cash Out: A buy-and-hold legend sees tough times ahead." Professor Siegel is the guru of the Common Stock Legend.
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US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2010-08-10 16:03