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Page 2 of 212
Subject: rating agencies

A credit rating agency (CRA) is a company that assigns credit ratings for issuers of certain types of debt obligations as well as the debt instruments themselves. In some cases, the servicers of the underlying debt are also given ratings. In most cases, the issuers of securities are companies, special purpose entities, state and local governments, non-profit organizations, or national governments issuing debt-like securities (i.e., bonds) that can be traded on a secondary market. A credit rating for an issuer takes into consideration the issuer’s credit worthiness (i.e., its ability to pay back a loan), and affects the interest rate applied to the particular security being issued. (In contrast to CRAs, a company that issues credit scores for individual credit-worthiness is generally called a credit bureau or consumer credit reporting agency.) The value of such ratings has been widely questioned after the 2008 financial crisis. In 2003 the Securities and Exchange Commission submitted a report to Congress detailing plans to launch an investigation into the anti-competitive practices of credit rating agencies and issues including conflicts of interest. (Wikipedia Feb 2010)

Post Modern Security Analysis

How rating agencies contributed to the Crash

Church selling indulgences

The Crash of 2008 revealed serious flaws in the rating agency system. The market had lost confidence in the major agencies because of the practice of selling ratings. Also, ratings had become a condition of default and agencies, to look good, rapidly downgraded issues just prior to default.

Reform of this system is not simple, requiring an entirely new approach consistent with the complexity of today’s market. Collaborative research with new Internet technology is a possible solution.

Stock buyback fraud

The Buyback Bubble is now official!

An equity market in disequilibrium can suddenly come tumbling down.

The Federal Reserve flow of funds accounts have signaled that there is a massive disequilibrium in the US equity market for over a year. Most investors will pass through these days of madness, hardly appreciating the spectacle that surrounds them.

However, I will step into the breach and make an unsolicited public service announcement:

“The Great Buyback Bubble is now official! Look around you and behold!”

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Accelerating to a buyback-option blowout

By Q1 2006, stock buybacks had multiplied to five times the level of 2000. Buybacks grew by 25% in 2005, with corporate profits after taxes increasing only 5.5%. At these rates, buybacks will exceed after-tax profits by 2009.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Innovative institutional research methods

The Crash of 2008 led to questions concerning the scope and quality of institutional investment research. The flood of open source investment data on the Internet presents opportunities to researchers.There are new ways to manage institutional research, including separation of fact-gathering from data analysis, out-sourcing, student-sourcing, and home-sourcing, financial taxonomy, and semantic wikis.
More ...

US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
More ...

US equities

GAO favors overly-optimistic projections

In a study of the effect of the retirement of Baby Boomers on the price of equities, the GAO assumed that equities will provide real returns of 7% over the next decades. This figure is often cited in Wall Street promotional literature, but has no scientific basis.
More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2011-04-19 16:02