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Subject: Ronald Reagan

Ronald Wilson Reagan (February 6, 1911– June 5, 2004) was the 40th President of the United States (1981–1989) and the 33rd Governor of California (1967–1975). Prior to his political career Reagan was also a famous motion picture actor and president of the Screen Actors Guild.
Born in Tampico, Illinois, Reagan moved to Los Angeles, California in the 1930s. He began a career as an actor, first in films and later television, appearing in 52 movie productions and gaining enough success to become a household name. Though often described as a B film actor, he starred in Knute Rockne, All American and Kings Row. Reagan served as president of the Screen Actors Guild, and later spokesman for General Electric (GE); his start in politics occurred during his work for GE. Originally a member of the Democratic Party, he switched to the Republican Party in 1962. After delivering a rousing speech in support of Barry Goldwater’s presidential candidacy in 1964, he was persuaded to seek the California governorship, winning two years later and again in 1970. He was defeated in his run for the Republican presidential nomination in 1968 as well as 1976, but won both the nomination and election in 1980.
As president, Reagan implemented sweeping new political and economic initiatives. His supply-side economic policies, dubbed “Reaganomics”, advocated reduced business regulation, controlling inflation, reducing growth in government spending, and spurring economic growth through tax cuts. In his first term he survived an assassination attempt, took a hard line against labor unions, and ordered military actions in Grenada. He was reelected in a landslide in 1984, proclaiming it was “Morning in America”. His second term was primarily marked by foreign matters, namely the ending of the Cold War, the bombing of Libya, and the revelation of the Iran-Contra affair. Publicly describing the Soviet Union as an “evil empire”, he supported anti-Communist movements worldwide and spent his first term forgoing the strategy of détente by ordering a massive military buildup in an arms race with the USSR. Reagan negotiated with Soviet General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev, culminating in the INF Treaty and the decrease of both countries’ nuclear arsenals.
Reagan left office in 1989. In 1994, the former president disclosed that he had been diagnosed with Alzheimer’s disease earlier in the year; he died ten years later at the age of 93. He ranks highly among former U.S. presidents in terms of approval rating, but has a more mixed perception in presidential surveys. (Wikipedia Feb 2010)

The coming storm:

Will gold protect you against inflation?

Will Obama's exit crash gold?

In 35 of the last 50 years, gold prices have fallen relative to inflation. On four occasions, gold has fallen 50% or more. Gold does not track inflation, but rather anticipation of hyper-inflation or war.

In 2010, gold prices were soaring, reflecting fear of inflation from fiscal excesses of the Obama administration and continuation of war in Iraq and Afghanistan. If Obama is a one-termer, gold prices could fall.

Assessing the damage

The Stock Buyback Era evaluated

SEC Rule 10b-18 opened the door to the buyback era

The buyback era began in 1982 when the US Securities and Exchange Commission promulgated Rule 10b-18, granting “safe harbor” to corporations that wished to use equity repurchases to boost market prices in order to give value to executive option schemes. The total value of corporate buybacks since SEC Rule 10b-18, in 2008 dollars, is estimated at $5.77 trillion.

Buybacks have been funded not only from profits, but by raiding depreciation reserves and borrowing from banks.

The threat of inflation

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

Million mark bills used as a notepad (Germany 1923)

The supremacy of the US dollar is not yet dead, but portents of a fatal cancer — inflation — are there for all to see.

The extreme, profligate spending of the Obama administration, combined with populist, irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy.

Furthermore, a large part of the American electorate doesn’t understand or is unaware of what lies ahead.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks dry up

Since 1982, US equities have been driven upwards by stock buybacks. Federal Reserve statistics show corresponding sales of stocks as executives exercised options to take advantage of manipulated prices. More ...

Securities Analysis

Does ‘SEC Total Return’ protect investors?

Millions of investors put money for retirement into mutual funds selected on the basis of "SEC total returns" and the name of the fund. This article explains how the SEC allows funds to use this misleading statistic to the detriment of investors and to the benefit of fund managers. More ...

US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
More ...

US equities

Stocks surge on spurious earnings

In Q1 2009, stock buybacks came back, driving up equity prices and sparking a rally by dominating a thin market. These equity repurchases were financed from depreciation reserves and bond issues. More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2011-04-21 16:02