Conservative Economics

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Subject: savings

Saving is the conservation of money. Methods of saving include putting money aside in a bank or pension plan. Saving also includes reducing expenditures, such as recurring costs. In terms of personal finance, saving specifies low-risk preservation of money, as in a deposit account, versus investment, wherein risk is higher.

In economics, personal saving has been defined as disposable income minus personal consumption expenditure. In other words, income that is not consumed by immediately buying goods and services is saved. Other kinds of saving can occur, as with corporate retained earnings (profits minus dividend and tax payments) and a government budget surplus.
There is some disagreement about what counts as saving. For example, the part of a person’s income that is spent on mortgage loan repayments is not spent on present consumption and is therefore saving by the above definition, even though people do not always think of repaying a loan as saving. However, in the U.S. measurement of the numbers behind its gross national product (i.e., the National Income and Product Accounts), personal interest payments are not treated as “saving” unless the institutions and people who receive them save them.
“Saving” differs from “savings.” The former refers to an increase in one’s assets, an increase in net worth, whereas the latter refers to one part of one’s assets, usually deposits in savings accounts, or to all of one’s assets. Saving refers to an activity occurring over time, a flow variable, whereas savings refers to something that exists at any one time, a stock variable. (Wikipedia Feb 2010)

Deflation Economics

When cash is an investment strategy

Sometimes even cash is not a good idea. "Money to burn" showing Confederate Dollars.

Deflation is said to occur when general price levels fall. The last important example of general deflation in the United States occurred during the Great Depression. Federal Reserve officials and central bankers around the world often regard deflation as a greater risk than inflation. Under the Obama administration, US central bankers are now wary of both deflation and inflation.

Flow of funds analysis

US corporations still in recovery mode

The rubble of 2008 has not yet been cleaned away.

The Federal Reserve flow of funds accounts provide a general view of the financial situation of US corporations as of Q4 2009. The question that I would like to address is simply this: To what degree have US corporations been able to improve their financial liquidity since the Crash of 2008? Whereas behavior of US households indicates a shift to more conservative financial positions — with far higher levels of saving than prior to 2008 — corporations do not seem to have taken a similar course.

Q3 2009

US households save while Obama fiddles

Nancy Pelosi: two heartbeats from the Presidency, representative of less than 1/100% of American voters.

In Q3 2009, American households saved 4% of their income, a sharp increase from 1.5% in 2007 before the current financial crisis. Tax breaks in the “economic stimulus” package were directed to savings rather than consumption.

Private sector tax payers were incensed by the profligate behavior of the Pelosi-Reid Congress, which gave rise to the Tea Party Movement.

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Warren Buffett attacks buyback schemes

In the 2005 Berkshire-Hathaway annual report, Warren Buffet points to the unethical aspects of the buyback-option schemes so common in the US stock market. He noted that "Too often ... the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay. ... every dime paid out in dividends reduces the value of all outstanding options"
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Securities Analysis

Operational versus financial information

The Crash of 2008 suggests that understanding the operational details of capital markets can be as important as financial analysis. This article discusses Capital Market Taxonomy in this context. More ...

US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
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US equities

GAO pooh-poohs a Boomer bust

In 2006, the GAO issued a report saying that the retirement of the Baby Boomers should not have a negative effect on stock prices. This article reviews the GAO reasoning and concludes that the conclusion is not credible. More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Signs of US losing its groove?

Thirty years ago, US income from abroad was more than double the amount of income that the US paid to the rest of the world. This year, or the next, this foreign income surplus may disappear forever. Is the US 'losing its groove'? More ...

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2010-08-13 13:09