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Subject: SEC Rule 10b-18

In 1982, the US Securities and Commission adopted Rule 10b-18,4 which provides that an issuer will not be deemed to have violated Sections 9(a)(2) and 10(b) of the Exchange Act, and Rule 10b-5 under the Exchange Act, solely by reason of the manner, timing, price, or volume of its repurchases, if the issuer repurchases its common stock in the market in accordance with the safe harbor conditions.

Rule 10b-18’s safe harbor conditions are designed to minimize the market impact of the issuer’s repurchases, thereby allowing the market to establish a security’s price based on independent market forces without undue influence by the issuer.

The practical effect of this rule was to encourage massive stock buybacks by corporations as a means of manipulating prices upwards in order to give value to executive stock options.

The Post Stock Buyback Era

Seeking investment opportunities

On a tightrope ... without a net.

The Crash of 2008 signaled a turning point in capital markets. The stock buyback era seemed to have ended. The Efficient Market Hypothesis was discredited. The inability of market experts and major institutions to place a fair value on thousands of securities indicated basic problems in security analysis and the handling of freely available information.

This article describes new challenges facing fundamental security analysts in the early 21st century, and the consequent opportunities.

Hard Times

Finding a job in the new capital market

Whither Wall Street?

The Crash of 2008 was the end to what I call, “the old capital markets”.

A new era is beginning, but form and detail are hidden in the mists of change. It may be a decade or so before new structures and directions are visible.

Many were thrown out of work by the Crash, but before getting into the unpleasant chore of actually looking for a job, you should consider whether or not you even want to work in the new capital markets.

Assessing the damage

The Stock Buyback Era evaluated

SEC Rule 10b-18 opened the door to the buyback era

The buyback era began in 1982 when the US Securities and Exchange Commission promulgated Rule 10b-18, granting “safe harbor” to corporations that wished to use equity repurchases to boost market prices in order to give value to executive option schemes. The total value of corporate buybacks since SEC Rule 10b-18, in 2008 dollars, is estimated at $5.77 trillion.

Buybacks have been funded not only from profits, but by raiding depreciation reserves and borrowing from banks.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks, refusing to die, live on

In Q1 2009, stock buybacks came back, driving up equity prices and sparking a rally by dominating a thin market. These equity repurchases were financed from depreciation and bond issues. More ...

Securities Analysis

Are investors being misled?

Mutual funds are sold primarily on the basis of 'performance' measured by historical 'total return'.The famous Morningstar 'star' rating system is based on 'total return', in this case 'risk-adjusted total return' relative to funds of the same asset category.
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US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
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US equities

Do stocks offer protection against inflation?

There is a common belief that a managed, diversified portfolio of US common stocks provides protection against inflation. However, there is reason to question whether this protection currently exists.
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US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2010-10-29 16:02