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Subject: US Treasury

The Department of the Treasury is an executive department and the treasury of the United States federal government. It was established by an Act of Congress in 1789 to manage government revenue. The Department is administered by the Secretary of the Treasury, who is a member of the Cabinet.
The first Secretary of the Treasury was Alexander Hamilton, who was sworn into office on September 11, 1789. Hamilton was asked by President George Washington to serve after first having asked Robert Morris (who declined, recommending Hamilton instead). Hamilton almost single-handedly worked out the nation’s early financial system, and for several years was a major presence in Washington’s administration as well. His portrait is on the obverse of the U.S. ten-dollar bill and the Treasury Department building is shown on the reverse.
Besides the Secretary, one of the best-known Treasury officials is the Treasurer of the United States, who receives and keeps the money of the U.S. Facsimile signatures of the Secretary and the Treasurer appear on all modern U.S. currency.
The Treasury prints and mints all paper currency and coins in circulation through the Bureau of Engraving and Printing and the United States Mint. The Department also collects all federal taxes through the Internal Revenue Service, and manages U.S. government debt instruments. (Wikipedia Feb 2010)

Euros versus the dollar

Multiple central banks weaken the euro

The reputation of the euro will depend upon the reputation of the European Central Bank and its ability to control the volume of euros in circulation.

The multiplicity of independent central banks is the Achilles heel of the eurosystem. A bank, controlled by the government, in a fiat money environment, that acts as the paying agent for that government, has — in effect — the capability to print money (although not necessarily banknotes).

Imagine, tomorrow the headlines in the Wall Street Journal read “$100 billion is inflationary euros issued without the knowledge of the European Central Bank”. What would be the effect of the news on the value of the euro as a reserve currency?

Stagflation watch

When will inflation kick in?

Forecasting when inflation will kick in is impossible, because the political situation is so uncertain and conflicted.

The lack of fiscal restraint of President Obama on the healthcare issue, the ’stimulus bill’, and other ‘progressive’ legislation in the pipeline, combined with the jobs-firsts-inflation-last attitude of Fed Chairman Bernanke — leave little room to doubt that sooner or later the United States is likely to enter the realm of double-digit inflation.

Inflation is likely be the final and deadliest blow to the retirement dreams of many Baby Boomers. When the stock market crashes, one can hope for a recovery some day. With inflation, the losses are permanent and final.

The nuclear option

How the US may avoid inflation

Inflation and tax burdens

The Obama administration is passing deficit spending programs of such magnitude that inflation is inevitable unless steps are taken to remove money that will be pumped into the economy as the government pays its bills.

The classical solutions are to sell government bonds, increase taxes, or increase bank reserve requirements. The last tactic can be extremely effective if carried to the extreme. This is what I call ‘The Nuclear Option’.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks, refusing to die, live on

In Q1 2009, stock buybacks came back, driving up equity prices and sparking a rally by dominating a thin market. These equity repurchases were financed from depreciation and bond issues. More ...

Securities Analysis

Is big bank complexity irreversible?

The root problem with big banks today is organizational and product line complexity. Excessive complexity in banks can be traced to the reorganization of Citibank in 1956, under Walter Wriston, following the advice of McKinsey and Company.
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US Politics

America grows with legal immigration

Legal immigration has resulted in solid growth of the US population, despite declining birth rates and an increasing number of old people. This is good news for investors in stocks and real estate. Illegal immigration appears to be less than 5% of legal immigration, and legal immigration is at an all time high.
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US equities

Do stocks offer protection against inflation?

There is a common belief that a managed, diversified portfolio of US common stocks provides protection against inflation. However, there is reason to question whether this protection currently exists.
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US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2011-09-19 16:01