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Subject: William Sharpe

William Forsyth Sharpe (born June 16, 1934) is the STANCO 25 Professor of Finance, Emeritus at Stanford University’s Graduate School of Business and the winner of the 1990 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.
He was one of the originators of the Capital Asset Pricing Model, created the Sharpe ratio for risk-adjusted investment performance analysis, contributed to the development of the binomial method for the valuation of options, the gradient method for asset allocation optimization, and returns-based style analysis for evaluating the style and performance of investment funds. (Wikipedia Feb 2010)

Post Modern Security Analysis

Moving beyond Graham & Dodd

A security analyst is like a detective.

Security Analysis is the study of facts about negotiable instruments for the purpose of determining whether a particular instrument is appropriate for a specific investor at a particular time and the intrinsic value of the security compared to its market price, if any.

The technique has evolved over time with the changing nature of information.

In the 21st century, with a flood of open source information and increasingly complex, global markets, new approaches are necessary.

Post Modern Security Analysis

Is security analysis a science?

Predicting the future is often not scientific.

A pretense of scientific basis has weakened the usefulness of security analysis in the modern era. Fancy mathematics serve to cloud the minds of investors.

The collapse of Long Term Capital Management and the Crash of 2008 were assisted by the injection of ‘junk science’ into investment decisions.

Can (or should) security analysis be considered ’scientific’?

Morningstar ratings

Are investors being misled?

A general's stars are a clear indication of rank.

Mutual funds are sold primarily on the basis of ‘performance’ measured by historical ‘total return’.

The famous Morningstar ’star’ rating system is based on ‘total return’, in this case ‘risk-adjusted total return’ relative to funds of the same asset category.

A general’s stars are a clear indication of rank. People presume that ‘five stars’ are better than ‘three stars’, just as they presume that a ‘five star general’ is higher ranked than a ‘three star general’.

Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

WSJ exposes the 9/11 caper

In a major exposé of misused executive options, the Wall Street Journal ran a front page article, reporting that as stocks sank after the the 9/11 attacks, scores of companies rushed to issue options to top officials. Some executives reaped millions.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Managing complexity

Modern capital markets have become so complex that security analysis methods of the 1930s are no longer adequate. Complexity goes beyond financial data to collateral issues such as operations, foreign and domestic taxation, and structural risks. More ...

US Politics

What is the future of private pension plans?

Between 1999 and 2002, US private pension funds lost US$ 1.2 trillion in value. It would almost seem that pension fund managers had been speculating with retirement money, attempting to beat each others' short-term performance statistics, with little interest in safeguarding the assets of plan beneficiaries. More ...

US equities

The productivity vs. population debate

The 'Baby Boomer Bomb' refers to the expected effect of the retirement of the Baby Boomer generation on capital markets, particularly equities. Two proposed 'solutions' to the problem are examined: Boomers being 'saved' by productivity and technology; and, alternatively, by selling their financial assets to the next generation..
More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Working off the US trade deficit

Foreigners hold $16.8 trillion in US financial assets as a result of selling more goods to Americans than they buy from them. Since the 'deficit' is in dollars, the US has no problem in 'paying it off'. More ...

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2010-12-21 15:54